(我是散戶的救星) 景氣已走揚,這一波空頭的低點是不是6633點,先拉初升段,拉回,再走主升段(12/27更新)

8月業績出爐了

光環
項目 營業收入淨額
本月 154,296
去年同期 125,120
增減百分比 23.32

聯鈞
項目 營業收入淨額
本月 209,032
去年同期 160,581
增減百分比 30.17

前鼎
項目 營業收入淨額
本月 108,835
去年同期 113,567
增減百分比 -4.17

華星光
項目 營業收入淨額
本月 200,392
去年同期 84,482
增減百分比 137.20


僅前鼎業績表現不佳!!
--------------------------------------
Ovum: 2Q12 PON and VDSL2 sales look good
September 6, 2012
Lightwave Staff

Ovum says in its new “Market Share Alert: 2Q12 FTTx, DSL, and CMTS” report that sales of PON and VDSL2 gear grew strongly in the second quarter of 2012. Within the PON space, a general shift from passing customers to connecting them means that OLT shipments are losing steam, however.

The market research firm notes that the shift from DSL-based access networks to fiber to the home (FTTH) and building (FTTB) continues. Where carriers don’t want to completely abandon their copper cables, they’re installing VDSL2 equipment. The two trends mean that DSL sales overall in 2Q12 shrank, but VDSL2 sales reached a record 6.3 million ports. VDSL2 represented 57% of all DSL shipments in North America, and 43% in EMEA, Ovum estimates.

Meanwhile, the shift towards FTTH/FTTB customer connections can be seen in the fact that 2Q12 marked the first year-over-year decline in global PON OLT port shipments in more than three years.

With much of the action in China, vendors from that country dominated port shipment share during 2Q12, as the table below indicates.

1 2 3
FTTH/FTTB PON OLT ports ZTE Huawei Fiberhome
FTTH/FTTB PON ONT/ONU units Huawei ZTE Alcatel-Lucent
DSL ports Huawei ZTE Alcatel-Lucent

Ovum notes that just because you ship the most ports doesn’t mean you make the most money.

“The division that has opened up recently between PON volume and revenue trends continued in 2Q12 due to price wars, particularly in China, and will have an impact on vendor results and strategy,” says Kamalini Ganguly, analyst, Network Infrastructure Practice. “The conversation in fixed access tends to be around shipment volumes, but the focus should really be on revenues and profits. The PON price wars in China and elsewhere are not sustainable. Revenues are not keeping pace with growth in volumes. Vendors – even Huawei – are being pickier about projects and markets. If price pressures continue, there may be more vendor consolidation like that of Calix’s acquisition of Ericsson’s PON portfolio.”

Meanwhile, CMTS sales were more similar to DSL than PON quarter on quarter, but such softness is not unusual at this time of the year. Shipments are still high -- up 10% from the same quarter in 2011, Ovum notes. “CMTS annualized shipments in North America and EMEA are at their peak,” offers Ganguly.


全球第二季pon跟vdsl2成長強勁






hypersonic7700 wrote:
8月業績出爐了光環項...(恕刪)


大盤今有量也

上市 7570.45 漲 85.32 1035.66億


hypersonic7700
2012-08-16 23:34 #1154
最近美國幾家科技大廠業績優於分析師預估,連HPQ也調升業績預估
Nasdaq已到3048 最近漲勢也優於DJIA,台灣電子股漲勢應會跟上nasdaq
AAPL到635、GOOG到669 都到52週高點
各廠業積旺季已到
大盤還小跌、小漲,但外資還續大買,以往經驗,沒多久後其他資金會跟上湧進(恕刪)


果然歐洲開第一砲
美國開第二砲
再來就等中國了!等下一任接班人上任後,八成又有一堆振興經濟方案出爐了

再過幾過月後就可以收割囉

今天換oclr發飆了居然漲10%!!
OCLR $3.03 $0.28 漲10.18%

hypersonic7700 wrote:
果然歐洲開第一砲美國...(恕刪)


我前兩天有再加碼。

現在持股已達8成

suchemin wrote:
我前兩天有再加碼。現...(恕刪)


昨天掛的都沒買到

漲太快了,追都追不到

現在空手

suchemin 大有建議的好股嗎??
MY BLOG : http://waxl11.pixnet.net/blog
suchemin wrote:
大盤沒有量,到9月底之前是盤。

有興趣的人,可來回操作一下。

見到7500就賣,看到7000就買


這次我想賭一個大波段

景氣燈號連9藍,很可能連 10 藍
不少人都認為依照「過去經驗」,撐在七千多點沒道理,泡沫很大
但如果真有底部墊高這回事 (目前尚未證明)
我認為 Fed 這次寬鬆有可能剛好寬在景氣底部 (最樂觀的想法)
如果景氣回溫,加上資金效應,行情很有想像空間

另一種可能當然就是入長期性的不景氣
比如連20藍、30 藍,如果屆時還能常態性撐在七千點 (懷疑中)
那底部墊高就真的無庸置疑了
雙壓力要小心喔
7735跟7803
今天勉強站上去
預計反彈到7803會開始做修正
除非有更多的利多進來把7803直接擊潰
呵呵

WAXL wrote:
昨天掛的都沒買到漲太...(恕刪)


2498
2409

這兩檔若走弱
偶也要出掉偶的部位

WAXL wrote:
昨天掛的都沒買到

漲太快了,追都追不到

現在空手

suchemin 大有建議的好股嗎?? ..(恕刪)


恭喜大家賺大錢,養老婆小孩。

看來要買lexus ES300H,就要看這一波了。
cywang40 wrote:
景氣燈號連9藍,很可能連 10 藍
不少人都認為依照「過去經驗」,撐在七千多點沒道理,泡沫很大
但如果真有底部墊高這回事 (目前尚未證明)
我認為 Fed 這次寬鬆有可能剛好寬在景氣底部 (最樂觀的想法)
如果景氣回溫,加上資金效應,行情很有想像空間

...(恕刪)


很可能是連10藍燈。

11月應是黃藍燈。

無論如何,我講到綠燈,我就下台一鞠恭

感謝這一年多來,大家的支持。

從空頭開始,再到多頭確立,開始佈局。

我要回我的大台北的房地產
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