美國有可能輸掉中美貿易戰


vspebrian wrote:
上證A股現在跌108...(恕刪)


還早呢. 不管是ABC 還是12345就是下行, 中國的 Q4肯定不會好, 2019一開年25%馬上實施, 怎麼會好呢? 如果2670再打下去, 加上軍事衝突話題會越來越多, 政經多曲折, 遠離中國股匯市場就對了.

Minority Report wrote:
看看道瓊30成份股...(恕刪)

Trump, Pence 及他們的軍情首長一字排開全部是典型的西部牛仔, and they kick ass. 誰是西部片的大壞蛋(villain)? Pence 已經公開說出來了, 不是嗎?

malcolmks wrote:
Trump, Pence他們的軍情首長一字排開全部是典型的西部牛仔...(恕刪)


美國國務卿Pompeo訪問中國, 中國刻意降低會談層級, 只派出外交部長接待與會談, 沒有任何決策性人物出現, 與當年主政者周恩來前往機場迎接國務卿季辛吉完全不同. 甚至是更低層次人員送行...... 除了合理懷疑中國內部已經開始發生鬥爭, 政策不明確之外, 刻意冷落美國也已經發生了.

中美關係將進入冷凍期, 未來貿易戰更將打得更血腥, 直到中國露出邪惡的笑容, 乞求和談. 一個大時代已經來臨, 美國花得起, 台灣漁翁得利, 中國準備承受衝擊吧....

malcolmks wrote:



還早呢. 不管...(恕刪)


放空人民幣
作多原物料
這下好了,2邊強弱分明


大陸股匯低迷,亦波及債市。昨(8)日大陸10年期國債早盤走勢直線下滑,國債收益率也在1個月低點徘徊,相對應的是美債收益率飆升,中美利差中的倒掛風險也浮出水面。

此外,因人行降準加大人民幣的貶值壓力,目前人民幣正處於6.9的心理關口,大型中資銀行可能正在從市場上回籠流動性以支持人民幣,導致拆款利率抽高,資金成本高企可能影響部份投資者,對將於周三進行的中國政府點心債標售的興趣。

昨日十一長假節後開市,大陸債市直線下挫,10年期國債期貨早盤跌幅達到0.3%,創下自9月20日以來最大單日跌幅,5年期國債期貨跌逾0.1%,2年期國債期貨跌幅達到0.08%,國債現貨收益率也跌至逾30日的低點。


漲翻天 wrote:
這下好了,2邊強弱...(恕刪)


很奇怪, 照理說中國不是沒有人才, 但為何在國家有危機時提出的財經對策多是東牆補西牆的掩耳盜鈴之類的呢? 股匯市掛了也做算了, 房市了? 那會很可怕. 阿, 管他的, 美股如果拉回倒是可以視機而動, 台股毅然, 跟中國方向不一樣喔.
看金正恩多聰明,華麗轉身瞬間站到美國隊那一邊,就知道新冷戰誰輸誰贏了.
15151515151515
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/08/us-china-trade-war-central-bank-pboc-cuts-banks-rrr-to-save-economy.html

China says it's not afraid of a trade war with the US — its actions show otherwise
(中國說不怕貿易戰,但它的實際行動表現卻是恰恰相反).

The decision by China's central bank to cut the amount of reserves held by banks is an indication that authorities in the world's second-largest economy are getting nervous about a long-drawn trade war with the U.S., experts said.

China insisted last month, in a 71-page paper, that its economy is "highly resilient" and Beijing is not afraid of a trade war.

At the World Economic Forum in Tianjin, China in September, an official from the country's securities regulator said there was nothing President Donald Trump's administration could do to make a significant dent in the Chinese economy. Fang Xinghai, vice chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, said that the worst that could happen is the U.S. imposing levies on all Chinese imports, but that would only hit 0.7 percentage points of China's growth.
(就算美國對中國全面加稅,也只影響中國成長率區區0.7%)

But the central bank's move to ease some pressure on the banking sector signals that the situation in China is perhaps not all rosy, experts noted.

"China is probably facing its worst period since the global financial crisis. All news is against it," Fraser Howie, an independent analyst who has written books about China and its financial system, told CNBC's "The Rundown" on Monday.

"They certainly want to play down any talks of panic or near panic ... but they're clear it's not business as usual in China," he added.

The People's Bank of China announced on Sunday a 100 basis points cut to the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for most banks, which will result in an injection of 750 billion yuan ($109.2 billion) in cash into the banking system. But the central bank maintained that its monetary policy is still prudent and neutral — not accommodative.

A neutral monetary policy means the central bank is neither trying to slow nor stimulate the economy. When policy is said to be accommodative, it means the central bank is making it cheaper for businesses and households to borrow in hopes that they will increase spending and lift the economy.
=====================================================================
中國說不怕貿易戰,就算是美國隊中國所有出口加稅,也僅僅只影響0.7% 成長率而已.

"厲害了,我的國";這部官方製作的歌功頌德片,誇耀中國偉大的宣傳片,
發動機關公務員,企業員工與各級學校學生觀看,寫心得報告.
忽然間就被中宣部勒令下架,不准播放.

放手讓人民幣大貶,

去WTO投訴,

去美國買報紙廣告罵川普,

出了一本71頁的白皮書向國際社會哭訴被美國霸凌,

再一次降存款準備率,釋放7500億人民幣進入市場,
把市場資金成本(利率)壓制到新低點,期待企業與個人可以容易就到錢,
多消費與投資.


中國真的不怕貿易戰?
中國的國力真的能與美國較量?

昨天上證與深證又再探底,創新低了.

中國股市參與者絕大多數是散戶老百姓,
老百姓對中國政府沒信心
,股市指數是一浪低於一浪,
早賣少賠,晚賣多賠.

中國有任何反制與痛擊美國的招數,現在為何還不使出來,
只能一路挨打? "厲害了,我的國"全是假的?






malcolmks wrote:
很奇怪, 照理說中...(恕刪)


中國人是很會騙的, 不只台灣要小心, 美國日本也要小心

樂視網那個賈躍亭, 2017年初找中國融創求援, 到了2018年3月, 中國融創認輸慘賠168億人民幣. 老闆哭著說幫了賈躍亭不是只有斷手斷腳, 根本就是斷頭了..... 另一個幫樂視的恆大地產, 因為賈躍亭撕毀合約, 恆大也被害得昨天股票曾大跌36%. 投入資金損失上15億美元, 也大概130億人民幣. 股票損失還不算在內.

中國人心腸之險惡, 異於他人. 他們從小就被父母訓練說謊話, 因為怕小孩出門說錯話惹禍上身, 滿門抄斬, 而且鄰居同學朋友親戚也互相說謊, 互相欺騙陷害. 中國人如果不對你說謊, 是他覺得你不值得他花精神, 但是如果有利益關係, 他就會拿出他練了幾十年的說謊功夫來對付你. 就算你聽出他是說謊的, 他也可以大言不慚地繼續講, 他要講到讓謊話變成真的..... 因此會不斷地說, 毫無羞恥心.

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