個人積分：3670分
文章編號：90951857
個人積分：3670分
文章編號：90967306
What China’s Next Generation Stealth Jet Reveal Really Means
文章的結尾他寫到：
“Underestimating China has been a long practice of the DoD and the defense punditry. Flashbacks of the J-20’s emergence are clear in my head, as well as the poor analysis by many with the biggest platforms at the time. It too was called out to be a ‘deep striker’ then, not a heavy fighter that would target vulnerable support assets as I laid out at the time. It didn’t take long for that tone to shift, but we are seeing that again possibly with many claiming the larger of the two aircraft is a regional bomber aircraft.
The J-20 appeared 14 years nearly to the day prior to the these two new jets in a very similar ‘pseudo leak’ fashion. That was a major shock to some, and still, nearly a decade and half later, similar reactions occurred for these new aircraft. I think this is more about denial of the true changing nature of the global balance of military might than it is about the aircraft themselves, which are very intriguing, but hardly represent an unthinkable technological leap.
And while far from a ‘Sputnik moment’ some all too often declare events like this one to be, these aircraft — still the better part of a decade, at best, from becoming an operational threat — are the latest and possibly the most potent reminder that the days of American air supremacy are numbered, if they are not already history, at least to a degree.
The insidious nature of China’s slowly accelerating degradation of America’s military aerospace technological supremacy is harder to act on than one epiphany-like moment. And that may be a feature, not a bug for Beijing. We have become accustomed to the slow erosion of America’s military advantage, and now that it’s late in the game, the balance of power is shifting more rapidly. As a result, reacting with any real clarity and confidence within a system that hasn’t adapted to this new paradigm is a real challenge.
So no, a ‘Sputnik moment’ this is not, but I think it’s fair to say the last 14 years, from J-20 to J-36, has been a ‘Sputnik decade and a half.”
個人積分：67120分
文章編號：90974962
個人積分：13992分
文章編號：90977852
個人積分：3670分
文章編號：90977918
但美國沒有吹牛像是c919 自稱訂單1300台
美国人的吹牛？“Zumwalt要造32條”，蓋茨2011年說“2025年美國人會有一千架F-35”，“新甘乃迪號會在2024年服役”……這種梗我可以跟你玩一整天。
個人積分：3670分
文章編號：90982873
作者殲11後期型號、殲15、FC31等型號總師孫聰。
關於未來戰鬥機發展的若干討論
作者梟龍、殲20總師楊偉。
高性能戰鬥機與引擎協同設計關鍵技術
高性能協同作戰無人機的發展與思考
作者殲20副總師，成飛剛剛首飛的型號總師王海峰。
PS：這幾位總師的文章中仍然使用的是傳統的四代劃分法，
也就是將F-15這代劃為第三代，F-22這代為第四代。
個人積分：3670分
文章編號：91227639
NGAD2023：預想為35到40噸或者以上的雙發重型機。
NGAD2024：改為單發機，從初步描述看估測在20噸左右也就是中型機水準。但項目隨後暫停。等待川普政府決定是否重新啟動以及方案是否更改。
FA-XX：預想為35噸以上的雙發重型機。
GCAP：30噸以上的重型機。
FS2020：20噸的中型機。
AMCA：25噸的中型機。
KANN：27噸的中型機（但尺寸比37噸的F22大）
新建案或者開發中的下一代有人空中作戰平台，已經找不到MTOW20噸以下的構型，更不用說15噸以下的純輕型機。
還是那個觀念：輕型機大概率會逐漸被無人僚機代替。
印度那些PPT就不要當真了 至於KAAN的發動機來源有問題 最重要五代機的許多系統土耳其還沒造出來而且最重要整合還沒有做出來就是一個殼罷了
做不做得出來是另一回事，主要是體現一下目前有的未來有人戰機設計體量大小。就沒有20噸以下的機型。
個人積分：3670分
文章編號：91611339
