2018/12 川普總統表示,中國已經極大地衰退,並放棄了「中國製造2025」計劃
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2025/11/14 美國國會「美中經濟與安全評估委員會 USSC」發布了對於「中國製造2025」評估報告。關心MIC2025的朋友不妨看一看。
https://www.uscc.gov/research/made-china-2025-evaluating-chinas-performance
其中分為十個產業,評估技術自有、本地化生產、全球市佔率三類指標。其中航空、數控機床、農機、半導體的紅燈 (未達標) 比較多,新材料則無法評估。但即使在未完全達成指標的項目,報告稱大多仍取得顯著的發展。
在結語「對美國的意涵:中國在MIC2025之後的創新生態」一節中,USSC報告說:
對美國來說,中國產業政策帶來的挑戰不只是在特定科技的進步,也在整體中國製造業與創新生態的整體競爭力進步。元件先進性、供應鏈整合、製造流程的進步,使中國得以更加速迭代創新。中國的製造能量尤其顯著於在廠製程創新推動技術進步的部門,或是中國政策促其發展包括了終端製成品、元件供應商和研發能力的大規模集群。而後者將會使MIC2025持續發揮影響。
For the United States, the challenge posed by China’s industrial policies is progress not just in targeted technologies but also in the overall competitiveness of China’s manufacturing and innovation ecosystem. Improvements in sophistication of components, supply chain integration, and production processes enable China to iterate and innovate faster. China’s manufacturing capacity is particularly notable in sectors where technical advances are often driven by “process innovation” on the factory floor or where China’s policies have helped it develop large sectors of overlapping clusters of end-product manufacturers, component suppliers, and R&D capabilities. The latter may prove to be MIC2025’s most enduring legacy.
USSC報告也參考了 (被中國制裁的) 前參議員盧比歐在MIC2025九年時的報告,以及其他的報告。其中指出盧比歐將重點放在生產量大的產業如高鐵和造船,而USSC報告則重在全球市佔率和技術領先。
Office of Former Senator Marco Rubio, The World China Made: “Made in China 2025” Nine Years Later (2024): This study used the global competitiveness of Chinese industry to evaluate the success of MIC2025, finding that China became a world leader or made substantial progress in all but one sector: agricultural machinery. This study’s focus on China’s large industrial base leads to an emphasis on the quantity of production in sectors like high-speed rail and shipbuilding, while the Commission’s analysis emphasizes global market share and technological leadership.




























































































